UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men No Carolina 1
  
No Carolina           
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 97.3292

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.7) 15- 6 214 H Stony Brook CAA ( 7- 7, 92.4) 9- 4 222 A JHU B1G ( 6- 8, 95.7) 13-12 228 H Penn Ivy ( 4-10, 94.3) 16- 8 302 H Princeton Ivy (12- 3, 98.0) 12-14 308 H Hofstra CAA ( 8- 6, 92.1) 18- 7 316 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 92.5) 20- 7 321 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 93.0) 14- 2 329 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 12-13 405 H Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.8) 18- 9 412 A Duke ACC (12- 5, 97.1) 8- 7 419 H Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 98.3) 6-12 426 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.5) 14-12 502 N Duke ACC (12- 5, 97.1) 7-14 510 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Michigan               15- 6       9     2    +      2.55
   214 H Stony Brook             9- 4       5     6           0.00
   222 A JHU                    13-12       1     1           0.22
   228 H Penn                   16- 8       8     4           1.07
   302 H Princeton              12-14      -2     0    -     -2.21
   308 H Hofstra                18- 7      11     6           0.00
   316 H Jacksonville           20- 7      13     6           0.00
   321 A High Point             14- 2      12     4           1.49
   329 A Army                   12-13      -1    -1           0.45
   405 H Virginia               18- 9       9     2    +      2.58
   412 A Duke                    8- 7       1    -1           1.66
   419 H Notre Dame              6-12      -6     0    --    -4.92
   426 A Syracuse               14-12       2    -1    +      3.06
   502 N Duke                    7-14      -7     0    --    -5.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Notre Dame              6-12      -6     0    --    -4.92
   502 N Duke                    7-14      -7     0    --    -5.20
   302 H Princeton              12-14      -2     0    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Michigan               15- 6       9     2    +      2.55
   405 H Virginia               18- 9       9     2    +      2.58
   426 A Syracuse               14-12       2    -1    +      3.06

No Carolina Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force No Carolina No Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Albany No Carolina No Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Army Army Army  
Bellarmine No Carolina No Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Binghamton No Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) No Carolina
Boston Univ No Carolina tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) No Carolina
Brown No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Bryant No Carolina   No Carolina
Bucknell No Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) No Carolina
Canisius No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Cleveland St No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Colgate No Carolina No Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth No Carolina tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) No Carolina
Delaware No Carolina No Carolina   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Denver No Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) No Carolina
Detroit No Carolina   No Carolina
Drexel No Carolina tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) No Carolina
Duke No Carolina tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 2) No Carolina
Fairfield No Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) No Carolina
Georgetown No Carolina insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) No Carolina
Hampton No Carolina No Carolina   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Harvard No Carolina tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) No Carolina
High Point No Carolina No Carolina  
Hobart No Carolina No Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hofstra No Carolina No Carolina  
Holy Cross No Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) No Carolina
Iona No Carolina No Carolina   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Jacksonville No Carolina No Carolina  
JHU No Carolina No Carolina  
Lafayette No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Le Moyne No Carolina   No Carolina
Lehigh No Carolina tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) No Carolina
LIU No Carolina   No Carolina
Loyola No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Manhattan No Carolina No Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marist No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Marquette No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Maryland
UMass No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Mass-Lowell No Carolina   No Carolina
Mercer No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Mercyhurst No Carolina   No Carolina
Merrimack No Carolina   No Carolina
Michigan No Carolina No Carolina  
Monmouth No Carolina No Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mt St Marys No Carolina   No Carolina
Navy No Carolina insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) No Carolina
NJIT No Carolina   No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
Ohio State Ohio State insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Ohio State
Penn No Carolina No Carolina  
Penn State Penn State tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Penn State
Princeton Princeton Princeton  
Providence No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Queens No Carolina No Carolina   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Quinnipiac No Carolina   No Carolina
Richmond Richmond insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Richmond
Rob Morris No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Rutgers No Carolina No Carolina   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Sacred Heart No Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) No Carolina
Siena No Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) No Carolina
St B'venture No Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) No Carolina
St Johns No Carolina No Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Josephs No Carolina No Carolina   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Stony Brook No Carolina No Carolina  
Syracuse No Carolina No Carolina  
Towson No Carolina No Carolina   5- 0 vs 2- 3
UMBC No Carolina   No Carolina
Utah No Carolina No Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Vermont No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) No Carolina
Villanova No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Virginia No Carolina No Carolina  
VMI No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Wagner No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) No Carolina
Yale No Carolina tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) No Carolina

PowerWise = 68


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Michigan        ( 7- 7, 95.7)    15- 6       -4.17      14.65      -0.86         1.02            14.12
   0 H Stony Brook     ( 7- 7, 92.4)     9- 4       -7.47      11.35      -0.86         1.02            10.74
   0 A JHU             ( 6- 8, 95.7)    13-12       -4.20      14.61       0.86         1.02            15.84
   0 H Penn            ( 4-10, 94.3)    16- 8       -5.64      13.17      -0.86         1.02            12.61
   0 H Princeton       (12- 3, 98.0)    12-14       -1.92      16.89      -0.86         1.02            -2.84
   0 H Hofstra         ( 8- 6, 92.1)    18- 7       -7.78      11.03      -0.86         1.02            10.42
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    20- 7       -7.44      11.38      -0.86         1.02            10.77
   0 A High Point      ( 7- 9, 93.0)    14- 2       -6.94      11.87       0.86         1.02            13.04
   0 A Army            (12- 2, 97.9)    12-13       -1.98      16.84       0.86         1.02            -1.15
   0 H Virginia        ( 6- 8, 95.8)    18- 9       -4.13      14.68      -0.86         1.02            14.16
   0 A Duke            (12- 5, 97.1)     8- 7       -2.77      16.04       0.86         1.02            17.31
   0 H Notre Dame      ( 8- 4, 98.3)     6-12       -1.63      17.18      -0.86         1.02            -2.55
   0 A Syracuse        (11- 5, 97.5)    14-12       -2.37      16.44       0.86         1.02            17.72
   0 N Duke            (12- 5, 97.1)     7-14       -2.77      16.04      -0.00         1.02            -2.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       127.35

winning pts = 136.7305 losing points = -9.3819

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------