UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:05 PDT

men North Carolina 1
  
North Carolina        
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 98.2902

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Jacksonville ASUN (11- 6, 95.8) 11-10 213 H High Point A10 ( 6- 8, 94.1) 20- 9 215 H Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 86.8) 23- 7 220 H Johns Hopkins B10 (10- 6, 96.8) 17- 9 227 A Pennsylvania IVY ( 7- 6, 96.1) 11- 9 301 A Princeton IVY (15- 2, 99.3) 9-11 307 H Brown IVY ( 6- 7, 94.2) 19- 7 314 N Penn State B10 (10- 6, 98.6) 10- 8 321 H Army PATRIOT (13- 4, 97.5) 12-11 329 N Harvard IVY ( 9- 5, 96.9) 17- 7 404 H Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 14- 9 411 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 2, 99.9) 5-10 418 A Virginia ACC (10- 7, 98.0) 16-15 425 H Duke ACC (11- 4, 98.8) 12-16 501 N Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 12-10 503 N Virginia ACC (10- 7, 98.0) 6-16 509 H Albany AE (11- 6, 93.9) 24- 6 516 N Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 11-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Jacksonville           11-10       1     3    -     -2.22
   213 H High Point             20- 9      11     5           0.02
   215 H Iona                   23- 7      16    12           0.00
   220 H Johns Hopkins          17- 9       8     2    +      2.78
   227 A Pennsylvania           11- 9       2     1           0.53
   301 A Princeton               9-11      -2    -2          -0.26
   307 H Brown                  19- 7      12     5           0.14
   314 N Penn State             10- 8       2     0    +      2.31
   321 H Army                   12-11       1     2          -0.51
   329 N Harvard                17- 7      10     1    +      3.56
   404 H Syracuse               14- 9       5     1    ++     4.30
   411 A Notre Dame              5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.65
   418 A Virginia               16-15       1     0           1.42
   425 H Duke                   12-16      -4     0    --    -4.19
   501 N Syracuse               12-10       2     0    +      2.04
   503 N Virginia                6-16     -10     0    --    -5.32
   509 H Albany                 24- 6      18     5           0.00
   516 N Syracuse               11-13      -2     0          -1.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Duke                   12-16      -4     0    --    -4.19
   503 N Virginia                6-16     -10     0    --    -5.32
   207 H Jacksonville           11-10       1     3    -     -2.22
   411 A Notre Dame              5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Syracuse               14- 9       5     1    ++     4.30
   220 H Johns Hopkins          17- 9       8     2    +      2.78
   314 N Penn State             10- 8       2     0    +      2.31
   329 N Harvard                17- 7      10     1    +      3.56
   501 N Syracuse               12-10       2     0    +      2.04

North Carolina PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force North Carolina North Carolina   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Albany North Carolina North Carolina  
Army North Carolina North Carolina  
Bellarmine North Carolina North Carolina   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Binghamton North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Boston Univ North Carolina North Carolina   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Brown North Carolina North Carolina  
Bryant North Carolina North Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bucknell North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Canisius North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Cleveland State North Carolina   North Carolina
Colgate North Carolina North Carolina   5- 2 vs 0- 5
Cornell North Carolina tied -  7- 2 North Carolina
Dartmouth North Carolina North Carolina   4- 2 vs 0- 5
Delaware North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver North Carolina North Carolina   1- 2 vs 0- 2
Detroit Mercy North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Drexel North Carolina North Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Georgetown North Carolina tied -  4- 4 North Carolina
Hampton North Carolina   North Carolina
Harvard North Carolina North Carolina  
High Point North Carolina North Carolina  
Hobart North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hofstra North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Holy Cross North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Iona North Carolina North Carolina  
Jacksonville North Carolina North Carolina  
Johns Hopkins North Carolina North Carolina  
Lafayette North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Le Moyne North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lehigh North Carolina North Carolina   2- 1 vs 1- 2
LIU North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Loyola North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Manhattan North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Marist North Carolina tied -  1- 1 North Carolina
Marquette North Carolina North Carolina   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Maryland North Carolina North Carolina   4- 4 vs 1- 5
Massachusetts North Carolina North Carolina   5- 0 vs 2- 3
UMassLowell North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mercer North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mercyhurst North Carolina   North Carolina
Merrimack North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Michigan North Carolina North Carolina   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Monmouth North Carolina   North Carolina
Mt St Marys North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Navy North Carolina North Carolina   5- 0 vs 3- 2
NJIT North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
Ohio State North Carolina North Carolina   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Pennsylvania North Carolina North Carolina  
Penn State North Carolina North Carolina  
Princeton Princeton Princeton  
Providence North Carolina North Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Queens North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Quinnipiac North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Richmond Richmond Richmond   2- 2 vs 2- 3
Robert Morris North Carolina North Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Rutgers North Carolina North Carolina   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Sacred Heart North Carolina tied -  1- 0 North Carolina
Siena North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 1- 1
St Bonnies North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Johns North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Josephs North Carolina North Carolina   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Stony Brook North Carolina North Carolina   2- 1 vs 1- 1
Syracuse North Carolina North Carolina  
Towson North Carolina North Carolina   2- 1 vs 1- 1
UMBC North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Utah North Carolina North Carolina   3- 2 vs 2- 2
Vermont North Carolina North Carolina   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Villanova North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Virginia Virginia Virginia   3- 2 vs 3- 3
VMI North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wagner North Carolina   North Carolina
Yale North Carolina North Carolina   7- 2 vs 3- 5

PairWisePlus = 71


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jacksonville    (11- 6, 95.8)    11-10       -4.09      13.04      -0.74         0.82            10.03
   0 H High Point      ( 6- 8, 94.1)    20- 9       -5.85      11.28      -0.74         0.82             8.60
   0 H Iona            ( 2-15, 86.8)    23- 7      -13.06       4.08      -0.74         0.82             2.72
   0 H Johns Hopkins   (10- 6, 96.8)    17- 9       -3.09      14.04      -0.74         0.82            10.84
   0 A Pennsylvania    ( 7- 6, 96.1)    11- 9       -3.82      13.31       0.74         0.82            11.46
   0 A Princeton       (15- 2, 99.3)     9-11       -0.61      16.52       0.74         0.82            -0.11
   0 H Brown           ( 6- 7, 94.2)    19- 7       -5.73      11.40      -0.74         0.82             8.69
   0 N Penn State      (10- 6, 98.6)    10- 8       -1.30      15.83      -0.00         0.82            12.91
   0 H Army            (13- 4, 97.5)    12-11       -2.38      14.75      -0.74         0.82            11.42
   0 N Harvard         ( 9- 5, 96.9)    17- 7       -3.05      14.08      -0.00         0.82            11.48
   0 H Syracuse        (13- 5, 98.3)    14- 9       -1.57      15.57      -0.74         0.82            12.09
   0 A Notre Dame      (12- 2, 99.9)     5-10       -0.00      17.13       0.74         0.82            -0.61
   0 A Virginia        (10- 7, 98.0)    16-15       -1.93      15.20       0.74         0.82            13.00
   0 H Duke            (11- 4, 98.8)    12-16       -1.06      16.07      -0.74         0.82            -1.47
   0 N Syracuse        (13- 5, 98.3)    12-10       -1.57      15.57      -0.00         0.82            12.69
   0 N Virginia        (10- 7, 98.0)     6-16       -1.93      15.20      -0.00         0.82            -1.57
   0 H Albany          (11- 6, 93.9)    24- 6       -5.97      11.17      -0.74         0.82             8.50
   0 N Syracuse        (13- 5, 98.3)    11-13       -1.57      15.57      -0.00         0.82            -1.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       129.38

winning pts = 134.4148 losing points = -5.0317

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------