North Carolina 
W-L: ( 8- 1) PR = 98.5293
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
207 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 5- 4, 95.0) 11-10
213 H High Point A10 ( 3- 5, 93.0) 20- 9
220 H Johns Hopkins B10 ( 6- 3, 96.2) 17- 9
227 A Pennsylvania IVY ( 4- 4, 96.4) 11- 9
301 A Princeton IVY ( 6- 2, 97.4) 9-11
307 H Brown IVY ( 5- 4, 92.6) 19- 7
314 N Penn State B10 ( 6- 3, 98.1) 10- 8
321 H Army PATRIOT ( 7- 3, 95.9) 12-11
329 N Harvard IVY ( 8- 1, 97.5) 17- 7
404 H Syracuse ACC ( 9- 2, 98.3)
411 A Notre Dame ACC ( 6- 1, 98.2)
418 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 4, 96.7)
425 H Duke ACC ( 8- 1, 98.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Jacksonville 11-10 1 4 - -3.30
213 H High Point 20- 9 11 6 0.00
220 H Johns Hopkins 17- 9 8 3 1.83
227 A Pennsylvania 11- 9 2 1 0.66
301 A Princeton 9-11 -2 0 - -2.31
307 H Brown 19- 7 12 7 0.00
314 N Penn State 10- 8 2 0 1.55
321 H Army 12-11 1 3 - -2.42
329 N Harvard 17- 7 10 1 + 3.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Jacksonville 11-10 1 4 - -3.30
301 A Princeton 9-11 -2 0 - -2.31
321 H Army 12-11 1 3 - -2.42
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
329 N Harvard 17- 7 10 1 + 3.99
|
North Carolina Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Air Force |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Albany |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Army |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Bellarmine |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Binghamton |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Boston Univ |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Brown |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Bryant |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Bucknell |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Canisius |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Cleveland State |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Colgate |
North Carolina |
|
North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Cornell |
North Carolina |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Dartmouth |
North Carolina |
|
North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Delaware |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Denver |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Detroit Mercy |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Drexel |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Duke |
North Carolina |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North Carolina |
| Fairfield |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Georgetown |
North Carolina |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North Carolina |
| Hampton |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Harvard |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| High Point |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Hobart |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Hofstra |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Holy Cross |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Iona |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Jacksonville |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Johns Hopkins |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Lafayette |
North Carolina |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
North Carolina |
| Le Moyne |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Lehigh |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| LIU |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Loyola |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Manhattan |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Marist |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Marquette |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Maryland |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
North Carolina |
| Massachusetts |
North Carolina |
|
North Carolina   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| UMassLowell |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Mercer |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Mercyhurst |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Merrimack |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Michigan |
North Carolina |
|
North Carolina   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Monmouth |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Mt St Marys |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Navy |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
North Carolina |
| NJIT |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Notre Dame |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Ohio State |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Pennsylvania |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Penn State |
North Carolina |
North Carolina |
 
| |
| Princeton |
Princeton |
Princeton |
 
| |
| Providence |
North Carolina |
|
North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Queens |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Quinnipiac |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Richmond |
Richmond |
|
 
| Richmond |
| Robert Morris |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Rutgers |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
North Carolina |
| Sacred Heart |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Siena |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| St Bonnies |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| St Johns |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| St Josephs |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Stony Brook |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Syracuse |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
North Carolina |
| Towson |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| UMBC |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Utah |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Vermont |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Villanova |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Virginia |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
North Carolina |
| VMI |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
North Carolina |
| Wagner |
North Carolina |
|
 
| North Carolina |
| Yale |
North Carolina |
|
North Carolina   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
PowerWise = 74

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.81
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Jacksonville ( 5- 4, 95.0) 11-10 -4.86 13.34 -0.82 0.98 12.25
0 H High Point ( 3- 5, 93.0) 20- 9 -6.94 11.26 -0.82 0.98 10.21
0 H Johns Hopkins ( 6- 3, 96.2) 17- 9 -3.73 14.47 -0.82 0.98 13.36
0 A Pennsylvania ( 4- 4, 96.4) 11- 9 -3.53 14.67 0.82 0.98 15.15
0 A Princeton ( 6- 2, 97.4) 9-11 -2.50 15.70 0.82 0.98 -1.65
0 H Brown ( 5- 4, 92.6) 19- 7 -7.34 10.86 -0.82 0.98 9.83
0 N Penn State ( 6- 3, 98.1) 10- 8 -1.82 16.38 -0.00 0.98 16.03
0 H Army ( 7- 3, 95.9) 12-11 -3.97 14.23 -0.82 0.98 13.12
0 N Harvard ( 8- 1, 97.5) 17- 7 -2.38 15.82 -0.00 0.98 15.48
------
103.78
|
winning pts = 105.4304 losing points = -1.6476
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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